RERUN
Claim 20

Receipt for run 1: the Lab's permanent record of what it did

Does temperature explain how much water forests lose after a wildfire?

RERUNCLAIM #0020

Does temperature explain how much water forests lose after a wildfire?

Measured in
share explained
Paper says
0.1495
Counts if
0.149 to 0.15
Lab got
0.1495
VerdictNumbers check out
a942a4e8eee4390f46aeNov 07, 2026

Paper said 0.1495. We got 0.1495.

The code and data produced the same result. That doesn't prove the study's method is right.

Check this yourself

You don't have to trust us or the . With Docker and Node installed, this retraces the claim on your own computer and compares the number:

git clone <this repository> && cd rerun && pnpm install && pnpm sandbox:build
pnpm verify-claim 20

How much evidence is behind this?

Each step is a tougher test. Only the first one decides who wins the market.

  1. 1. ✓

    The Lab's retrace of the code and data named in the claim

    The Lab retraced the code and data and got a number inside the claim's range. YES wins.

  2. 2. –

    Stress test: does the number depend on luck?

    Fetching the extra runs…

  3. 3. –

    Rebuilt from the description (experimental)

    Fetching the AI's rebuild…

Coming next: a data-leakage check, for the same rows in training and test data, and a maths check on the statistics a paper reports. Neither has run on this claim.

Even all three steps can't prove the science is true. They show how well this result stands up to checking.

Verified

Your browser just re-checked these itself, so you don't have to trust this site.

Checking…

The write-up

The write-up isn't available right now. Its fingerprint is below.

The full record (technical)

✓ Verified on NEAR. See the contract's history

Outcome
REPRODUCED
a942a4e8eee4390f46ae932c48d15ccd0c83ebc0a39eab408c50e054088f6986
Commit
c28b8a2e3149f7d90f2dc0179f9c976785e762b1
Data fingerprints
None
Software versions fingerprint
aad622272b6d88f403ece8837cb4904ae67b073b20ec402b0508b0a9e00063e6
Runtime
2s, exit code 0
Started, finished
11/7/2026, 5:15:36 AM, 11/7/2026, 5:16:24 AM
Lab
rerun-lab-43f5f2.testnet
Lab code fingerprint
49fabb2e2f141c064ca032b253ce0f7e4f8054a781e5b3d64ee0d8a238372802
AI used
z-ai/glm-5.3-flash
ba6be5719adb6a2415e4ec15512eda98c6c73e27d962ae724c844aed0330f431
Signed AI replies
26542d505afe4135932c21993c773b54
Log fingerprint
e3b0c44298fc1c149afbf4c8996fb92427ae41e4649b934ca495991b7852b855
Write-up fingerprint
0ea8d50ab9180a13f7da1d49b36e711db8f43a87c7847251d75cade1f2807134