RERUN
Claim 26

Receipt for run 1: the Lab's permanent record of what it did

Does high government debt kill growth?

RERUNCLAIM #0026

Does high government debt kill growth?

Measured in
% growth a year
Paper says
-0.1
Counts if
-0.2 to 0
Lab got
2.168
VerdictDoesn't hold up
fa35d7e5ffd002b0b849Nov 06, 2026

Paper said -0.1. We got 2.168.

Check this yourself

You don't have to trust us or the . With Docker and Node installed, this retraces the claim on your own computer and compares the number:

git clone <this repository> && cd rerun && pnpm install && pnpm sandbox:build
pnpm verify-claim 26

How much evidence is behind this?

Each step is a tougher test. Only the first one decides who wins the market.

  1. 1. !

    The Lab's retrace of the code and data named in the claim

    The code ran, but the number came out outside the claim's range. NO wins.

  2. 2. –

    Stress test: does the number depend on luck?

    Fetching the extra runs…

  3. 3. –

    Rebuilt from the description (experimental)

    Fetching the AI's rebuild…

Coming next: a data-leakage check, for the same rows in training and test data, and a maths check on the statistics a paper reports. Neither has run on this claim.

Even all three steps can't prove the science is true. They show how well this result stands up to checking.

Verified

Your browser just re-checked these itself, so you don't have to trust this site.

Checking…

The write-up

The write-up isn't available right now. Its fingerprint is below.

Setup changes, and who made them

  • Human setup: Runs only the part of RR.R behind these numbers (lines 1-236). Leaves out the Excel export, which needs Java, four unused package loads, and the regression tests on lines 144-152, which need the car package and feed neither number. Prints both numbers on their own lines.
  • Human setup: Installs the plyr package as it was on 2022-02-03, the date of the code, from a dated copy of CRAN.
--- setup [ENV by human] Runs only the part of RR.R behind these numbers (lines 1-236). Leaves out the Excel export, which needs Java, four unused package loads, and the regression tests on lines 144-152, which need the car package and feed neither number. Prints both numbers on their own lines.

--- setup [DEPENDENCY by human] Installs the plyr package as it was on 2022-02-03, the date of the code, from a dated copy of CRAN.

The full record (technical)

✓ Verified on NEAR. See the contract's history

Outcome
NOT_REPRODUCED
fa35d7e5ffd002b0b8496bed8020579611c19cef349d5ec4658021a5b04bf3d7
Commit
b9c34472da97465050780dae5a4dab9ab7c69a63
Data fingerprints
None
Software versions fingerprint
6fb8435f97c4578dcb110e1923746c157bc1e87662695cf12da6a67e19dddc28
Runtime
2s, exit code 0
Started, finished
11/6/2026, 3:48:56 AM, 11/6/2026, 3:50:31 AM
Lab
rerun-lab-43f5f2.testnet
Lab code fingerprint
49fabb2e2f141c064ca032b253ce0f7e4f8054a781e5b3d64ee0d8a238372802
AI used
z-ai/glm-5.3-flash
97a9bdff7ba86080bd106206deb767e1d0740ad3212e80c4c68f0df8b2cf6937
Signed AI replies
29641505aba94191a5c4ef71316890c5
Log fingerprint
762f08b89a0a54f1e34601f456619e0c98948ff4b6d6a270f25bb3b03edaa2e8
Write-up fingerprint
bdf7e06a9da72ec3abbc0c2ab7ebd4e9553cc6669c6d9704f409612d1c28ed2a
Show the end of the run log
published_recipe -0.06206 
above90 2.168