RERUN

All results

Does temperature explain how much water forests lose after a wildfire?

✓ Numbers check out

The code and data produced the same result. That doesn't prove the study's method is right.

The write-up for this result is on its way. The verdict and numbers above are final.

What the paper said
Multiple R-Squared: 0.1495. The author's 2008 output file, line 251, for ET ~ Tavg
What we got
0.1495
Whose code ran
Authors' own code
What forecasters thought
50% expected it to hold up when forecasting closed. The forecast price never changes the verdict.
Proof
Read the receipt or see claim 20

What we didn't check

  • Whether the sample was fair or large enough.
  • Whether test data leaked into training or tuning.
  • Whether the result holds on new data.
  • Whether the study's method was the right one for its question.

Community notes

Notes are people's own words, kept on the blockchain. They never change a verdict, and the Lab's AI never reads them. Posting costs a little NEAR for storage, and what isn't used comes back.